2009 Challenge Fund (£13030- £140 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
So, I gave all the winnings from the Brigadier Gerrard meeting back in double quick time!
I doubt I've had 100 bets on the flat this season, and yet already I've had two horses beaten at 1:02 and two yesterday at 1:01. That implies I really should take insurance out at around 1:02, not least if the quick pics boys are falling over themselves to get matched.
No bets today.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1645 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
The fund survives for now!
Sunday, May 31, 2009
Saturday, May 30, 2009
Saturday 30th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13830- £140 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Nothing doing yesterday. Both golfers better placed than Bartoli is in the tennis!
Racing:
Bet of day – Beacon Lodge looked a horse going places last time out over course and distance. I thought he'd be vying for favouritism here.
Doncaster “fourplay”
2:30 Big Audio – much to like about debut (Hughes chose over favoured stablemate), good price in a potential match-type situation.
3:00 Bazergan – looks on a winning mark now and conditions suit.
3:30 Akhenanten -the long straight should suit – wouldhave closer to Proclaim in the betting.
4:40 Falcativ – horse going places – take this on route – 15/8 looks relatively big.
Maiden “threeplay” - all ran well on debut and as long as no startling debutants...
3:55 Goodwood - Rakaan
4:20 York – Falling Angel
6:30 Lingfield – Calypso Bay
Football:
(see below)
For interest I'll play on there being no goalscorer – which given two 0-0 draws in the season, has to be a player – and on the one result that, betting aside, would gladden my heart – Tim Cahill getting the only goal.
Something like:
Beacon Lodge £120 to return £750
Big Audio £45 to return £225
Bazergan £30 to return £240
Akhenanten £40 to return £220
Falcativ £75 to return £215
Doncaster four fold £20 to return £9000
Five fold with Beacon Lodge £10 to return £27000
Rakaan £60 to return £130
Falling Angel £60 to return £130
Calypso Bay £60 to return £130
Treble £20 to return £200
No goalscorer £40 to return £340
Cahil/1-0 £20 to return £1180
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1415 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
If Chelsea lose I'll wind-up the fund whilst it's still showing a small profit overall, and have a re-think.
Friday, May 29, 2009
Friday 29th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£14110- £140 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Now that was a good day's racing!
Today, I'll do another 'threeplay'.
Goodwood 2:25 – Caoba is slow, but then this is a slowboat race, and the handicap mark remains attractive – legitimate favourite.
Goodwood 5:15 – Choreography – backed last time at huge odds, when he was either a blatant non-trier or gone at thegame. With the cheekpieces on today we'll find out which.
Haydock 7:10 – Doctor Parkes – plenty in hand – should be favourite.
Caoba £75 to return £240
Choreography £10 win to return £210; £40 place to return £240ish
Doctor Parkes £55 win to return £240
£20 treble to return £6000ish
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1415 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
This fund in serious pooh. If Chelsea lose the cup I'll seriously think about winding it up, at least it would end in profit overall that way, and I can re-think about a new approach, as it remains an area I'm keen to try to exploit.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Thursday 28th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13270- £220 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Let's move on!
I did an ante post Derby bet yesterday £40 Age of Aquarius at 30/1. I'm not alone in thinking the O'Brien outsiders look too long and his faves too short.
Racing today.
I'll do a “threeplay” this afternoon, and think about Sandown whilst I'm watching.
Ayr 2:20 Maison Brillet (decent debut, weak looking race, Johnson's track)
Yar 3:10 Big Bay (Wood Ditton form looks good enough here)
Ling 4:00 Fairmile (good run last time, aw experience, and tactically versatile)
Something like
Maison Brillet £70 to return £280
Maison Brillet £40 to return £300
Fairmile £65 to return £280
£20 treble to return £2400
I'll possibly put Sandown bets up later.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
No bet yet.
Current stake - £120
Let's move on!
I did an ante post Derby bet yesterday £40 Age of Aquarius at 30/1. I'm not alone in thinking the O'Brien outsiders look too long and his faves too short.
Racing today.
I'll do a “threeplay” this afternoon, and think about Sandown whilst I'm watching.
Ayr 2:20 Maison Brillet (decent debut, weak looking race, Johnson's track)
Yar 3:10 Big Bay (Wood Ditton form looks good enough here)
Ling 4:00 Fairmile (good run last time, aw experience, and tactically versatile)
Something like
Maison Brillet £70 to return £280
Maison Brillet £40 to return £300
Fairmile £65 to return £280
£20 treble to return £2400
I'll possibly put Sandown bets up later.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
No bet yet.
Wednesday, May 27, 2009
Wednesday 27th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13560- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Midweek golf madness – these prices are so silly I'd best cover the singles (a week too late of course!)
Kevin Na £10ew 60/1
Ben Curtis £10ew 45/1
£10ew double
Champions League
Draw bet obviously, and as it's the final I'll treat myself.
£80 draw at 23/10
£20 1-1 at 6/1
£20 Vidic first goalscorer 25/1
The Hilary Needler at Beverley tonight looks suitably competitive. The betting seems to be all over Tom Dascombe's favourite. I quite like the look of his second-string running on over this stiff 5... A 20/80 maybe.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
No bet yet.
Current stake - £120
Midweek golf madness – these prices are so silly I'd best cover the singles (a week too late of course!)
Kevin Na £10ew 60/1
Ben Curtis £10ew 45/1
£10ew double
Champions League
Draw bet obviously, and as it's the final I'll treat myself.
£80 draw at 23/10
£20 1-1 at 6/1
£20 Vidic first goalscorer 25/1
The Hilary Needler at Beverley tonight looks suitably competitive. The betting seems to be all over Tom Dascombe's favourite. I quite like the look of his second-string running on over this stiff 5... A 20/80 maybe.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
No bet yet.
Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Tuesday 26th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13380- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Should have stayed in the garden and left Goodwood well alone yesterday.
Atacama Crossing maybe a bet later – otherwise another quiet day.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Oh dear – Phil Taylor lets me down finally. Can't grumble about that. However, I do need to tweak the modus operandi of this fund. I'm going to re-define a barking bet as any odds-on bet, not just those below about 1.5.
Since reverting to the old part-time approach in the above fund I haven't been betting on much in the Evens to 1.5 range, and with this fund struggling, now looks a good time for a re-jig. However, 10% bets would be too steep in that range so I will introduce variable staking to this fund as well – between 5% and 10% depending primarily on price.
.
Current stake - £120
Should have stayed in the garden and left Goodwood well alone yesterday.
Atacama Crossing maybe a bet later – otherwise another quiet day.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Oh dear – Phil Taylor lets me down finally. Can't grumble about that. However, I do need to tweak the modus operandi of this fund. I'm going to re-define a barking bet as any odds-on bet, not just those below about 1.5.
Since reverting to the old part-time approach in the above fund I haven't been betting on much in the Evens to 1.5 range, and with this fund struggling, now looks a good time for a re-jig. However, 10% bets would be too steep in that range so I will introduce variable staking to this fund as well – between 5% and 10% depending primarily on price.
.
Monday, May 25, 2009
Monday 25th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13560- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Shame I didn't try and smash that fourfold football bet out the stadium!
Quiet day today. Enjoy the Bank Holiday.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1740 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Casey falls over the line!
Chepstow 5:40 – as long as no monsoon – the front two are from my maiden and if anything Dhushan was the horse to take out of that race.
Current stake - £120
Shame I didn't try and smash that fourfold football bet out the stadium!
Quiet day today. Enjoy the Bank Holiday.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1740 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Casey falls over the line!
Chepstow 5:40 – as long as no monsoon – the front two are from my maiden and if anything Dhushan was the horse to take out of that race.
Sunday, May 24, 2009
Sunday 24th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£12760- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Yesterday not so good. Definitely need to refine the staking strategy for the summer Saturdays. Was helped out by a couple of “stable” bets on Palavicini and Archers Road, which would have been better off forming part a threeplay somewhere!
I'll skip the Irish 1000 today – I went round in circles and gave up. Similarly with the French Open tennis. However, I've always said when a tipster goes way out on a limb and puts in print a real longshot, you should have a dabble.
So, for interest Bartoli £20 ew 100/1 and £10 win 160/1.
Football. I struggle to see any of the relegation-threatened winning today, and certainly not two of them. The prices are the usual end of season mindfuck and although I've been circumspect this tail-end (and rightly so), I'll jump in today.
Villa £50 win and £70 draw no bet, to return £235 (or £70)
West Ham £50 win and £70 draw no bet, to return £230 (or £70)
Man Utd £35 win and £85 draw no bet, to return £235 (or £85)
Chelsea £120 win to return £225
£20 fourfold to return £420
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1700 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
The front three golfers at Wentworth look to have it between them. I'm going to be fed up if Casey wins, having failed to cover him in a single!
Current stake - £120
Yesterday not so good. Definitely need to refine the staking strategy for the summer Saturdays. Was helped out by a couple of “stable” bets on Palavicini and Archers Road, which would have been better off forming part a threeplay somewhere!
I'll skip the Irish 1000 today – I went round in circles and gave up. Similarly with the French Open tennis. However, I've always said when a tipster goes way out on a limb and puts in print a real longshot, you should have a dabble.
So, for interest Bartoli £20 ew 100/1 and £10 win 160/1.
Football. I struggle to see any of the relegation-threatened winning today, and certainly not two of them. The prices are the usual end of season mindfuck and although I've been circumspect this tail-end (and rightly so), I'll jump in today.
Villa £50 win and £70 draw no bet, to return £235 (or £70)
West Ham £50 win and £70 draw no bet, to return £230 (or £70)
Man Utd £35 win and £85 draw no bet, to return £235 (or £85)
Chelsea £120 win to return £225
£20 fourfold to return £420
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1700 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
The front three golfers at Wentworth look to have it between them. I'm going to be fed up if Casey wins, having failed to cover him in a single!
Saturday, May 23, 2009
Saturday 23rd May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13050- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
I had a fairly big bet yesterday on the basis of “inside info” - something I rarely do, and am even less likley to do in future!
Racing today.
Newmarket looks better than Haydock, with the latter's going after two days of racing likely to be glue-pot.
2:50 Nmkt – The front two look opposable and at the prices Nasri could be the one – albeit with a slight doubt about whether he truly gets this trip.
3:25 Nmkt – Able Master is well handicapped and even more so with the claimer's 5lbs. Parisian Pyramid is also backable if forgiving his two Chester runs (one more easy to forgive than the other).
4:00 Newmarket – Step in Time – worthy favourite with Running Mate coming out of a very moderate maiden.
4:35 Newmarket – Militarist – Wood Ditton remains hot form, even if he did nick it a bit, and he was babyish prior to his last run.
5:45 Newmarket – Hawk Mountain should have a bit more class than Silk Hall, as long as going not too quick.
3:10 Haydock – Total Gallery – Pricewise this morning, and his Ascot run threatens this lot.
3:40 Haydock – Foundation Room -open to loads of improvement.
How to organise that lot?
How about a favourite's “threeplay” at Newmarket:
Step In Time £55 to return £125
Militarist £45 to return £125
Hawk Mountain £40 to return £120
£20 treble to return £320
Then the tissue horses:
2:50 Nasri £50 to return £450
3:10 Total Gallery £50 to return £400
3:25 Able Master £40 to return £520
(3:25 Parisian Pyramid £20 to return £260)
3:40 Foundation Room £40 to return £360
Then 4 x £10 trebles to return £30k+
and a four fold with Pyramid to do likewise just in case!
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1700 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Haven't had time to look yet.
Friday, May 22, 2009
Friday 22nd May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13250- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Not so good yesterday – at least we had a non runner. Antinori – some dog!
The racing is depressingly poor for a Friday. No obvious bet so far.
Instead, let's get the play-off “threeplay” out the way. We already have the treble in hand (running on from UEFA cup. I also did a sneaky 6fold on all the 'cup finals' to finish equal!).
Burnley/Sheff Utd £50 draw to return £160
Millwall/Scunthorpe £50 draw to return £160
Gillingham/Shrewsbury £50 draw to return £160
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Nothing yesterday. Today looking blank as well.
Current stake - £120
Not so good yesterday – at least we had a non runner. Antinori – some dog!
The racing is depressingly poor for a Friday. No obvious bet so far.
Instead, let's get the play-off “threeplay” out the way. We already have the treble in hand (running on from UEFA cup. I also did a sneaky 6fold on all the 'cup finals' to finish equal!).
Burnley/Sheff Utd £50 draw to return £160
Millwall/Scunthorpe £50 draw to return £160
Gillingham/Shrewsbury £50 draw to return £160
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Nothing yesterday. Today looking blank as well.
Thursday, May 21, 2009
Thursday 21st May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13430- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Nice draw yesterday.
Racing today:
1:50 Haydock – Hawk Mountain – not a good price, but definitely improving (Escorial lay though).
2:50 Goodwood – Choreography – two problems – no cheekpieces and wide draw – more than offset by price though.
4:35 Goodwood – Safari Mischief – best fresh, and conditions suitable here.
6:20 Sandown – Darley Sun – did even better last time out than it looked.
7:25 Sandown – The Fonz – hardly value – but extra distance will help, and the hill, and Antonori is a dog (good bet for second though). Wilfred Pickles also a big price based on second to The Fonz, and if I need to get out of trouble I may have to play him as well!
Something like:
Hawk Mountain £75 to return £225
Choreography £10 to return £440
Safari Mischief £30 to return £240
Darley Sun £35 to return £225
The Fonz £80 to return £220
£20 four fold (not Choreography) to return £6900
£5 five fold to return £58000!
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Another loser and back down in the dumps!
Current stake - £120
Nice draw yesterday.
Racing today:
1:50 Haydock – Hawk Mountain – not a good price, but definitely improving (Escorial lay though).
2:50 Goodwood – Choreography – two problems – no cheekpieces and wide draw – more than offset by price though.
4:35 Goodwood – Safari Mischief – best fresh, and conditions suitable here.
6:20 Sandown – Darley Sun – did even better last time out than it looked.
7:25 Sandown – The Fonz – hardly value – but extra distance will help, and the hill, and Antonori is a dog (good bet for second though). Wilfred Pickles also a big price based on second to The Fonz, and if I need to get out of trouble I may have to play him as well!
Something like:
Hawk Mountain £75 to return £225
Choreography £10 to return £440
Safari Mischief £30 to return £240
Darley Sun £35 to return £225
The Fonz £80 to return £220
£20 four fold (not Choreography) to return £6900
£5 five fold to return £58000!
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1615 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Another loser and back down in the dumps!
Wednesday, May 20, 2009
Wednesday 20th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13370- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Small win yesterday. I can't see much at Goodwood today – the Predominate looks particularly tricky. Watching brief. Quiet day.
Mid-week golf madness, and I'm glad to see Kevin Na back in the mix!
Casey/Na £20ew double 866/1
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1775 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Five bets in the end yesterday – sadly one of them the marathon dog disaster!
Current stake - £120
Small win yesterday. I can't see much at Goodwood today – the Predominate looks particularly tricky. Watching brief. Quiet day.
Mid-week golf madness, and I'm glad to see Kevin Na back in the mix!
Casey/Na £20ew double 866/1
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1775 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Five bets in the end yesterday – sadly one of them the marathon dog disaster!
Tuesday, May 19, 2009
Tuesday 19th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13320- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Well done Portsmouth.
Racing today – let's do a modest “threeplay”.
Nott 3:00 – Brynfa Boy- a couple of eye-catching runs, now in a handicap off what looks a very nice rating.
Yar 3:40 – Dreamwalk – can win a poor maiden judged on last time, and this certainly is poor.
Yar 4:10 – King of Connacht – Toad will tell you that this one overcame a draw/pace bias last time out, and taken on just that form, remains well handicapped, and a good price as common opinion is that the race was a one-off.
Something like
Brynfa Boy £40 to win £320
Dreamwalk £100 to win £250
King of Connacht £40 to win £320
£20 treble to win £2500
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1835 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
The evening may be rewarding, with possibles such as:
Leicester 8:10
Wimbledon dogs 7:55
Wimbledondogs 9:40
Current stake - £120
Well done Portsmouth.
Racing today – let's do a modest “threeplay”.
Nott 3:00 – Brynfa Boy- a couple of eye-catching runs, now in a handicap off what looks a very nice rating.
Yar 3:40 – Dreamwalk – can win a poor maiden judged on last time, and this certainly is poor.
Yar 4:10 – King of Connacht – Toad will tell you that this one overcame a draw/pace bias last time out, and taken on just that form, remains well handicapped, and a good price as common opinion is that the race was a one-off.
Something like
Brynfa Boy £40 to win £320
Dreamwalk £100 to win £250
King of Connacht £40 to win £320
£20 treble to win £2500
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1835 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
The evening may be rewarding, with possibles such as:
Leicester 8:10
Wimbledon dogs 7:55
Wimbledondogs 9:40
Monday, May 18, 2009
Monday 18th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13150- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Portsmouth are an even sillier price this morning, now they're safe. Their “draw no bet” price isn't too far off what I think their win price should really be!
Portsmouth £150 at 11/10 (Asians -0.25), or if you prefer, £75 win and £75 draw no bet.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1825 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
I got out of the cricket with a manageable loss, and let the football take the strain. Cue a day's rain now!
Current stake - £120
Portsmouth are an even sillier price this morning, now they're safe. Their “draw no bet” price isn't too far off what I think their win price should really be!
Portsmouth £150 at 11/10 (Asians -0.25), or if you prefer, £75 win and £75 draw no bet.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1825 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
I got out of the cricket with a manageable loss, and let the football take the strain. Cue a day's rain now!
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Sunday 17th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13150- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
The disqualification of Georgia probably cost Russia their top 10 finish last night, which is at least a small irony to take from the evening!
I was so close yesterday to doing Fulham to win and Bolton to draw, instead of the other way round (a mis-judgement that appears to have cost £1400ish).
C'est la vie. And Steve Palmer's column cheered me up no end this morning – at least I maintain a business-like approach!
Day off today.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Both Liverpool and Chelsea are fairly priced. In-running may provide better pickings. Cricket could get a bit nervy!
Current stake - £120
The disqualification of Georgia probably cost Russia their top 10 finish last night, which is at least a small irony to take from the evening!
I was so close yesterday to doing Fulham to win and Bolton to draw, instead of the other way round (a mis-judgement that appears to have cost £1400ish).
C'est la vie. And Steve Palmer's column cheered me up no end this morning – at least I maintain a business-like approach!
Day off today.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Both Liverpool and Chelsea are fairly priced. In-running may provide better pickings. Cricket could get a bit nervy!
Saturday, May 16, 2009
Saturday 16th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13420- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Today let's start with Eurovision. And Russia. Or, rather Putin. Who puts the willies up any nation within touching distance. Georgia have already been disqualified. I bet all the others have their arses twitching like rabbits' noses. Surely, they are all going to throw a few votes in Russia's direction? They have for the last three years, when Russia have at least placed, and last year it felt like they'd been commanded to vote for them. And now they're hosts. People are saying their song is terrible. I can't comment but their songs were awful hitherto, so it plainly doesn't matter. The only downside I can see is if some secret edict has gone out asking them not to vote for the 'motherland'. In particular I can see them thrashing the old European countries (France, German, Spain and us) who are all pants at this, and have no friends.
Russia Top 10 £70 to return £200
Russia Top 4 £50 to return £1000
Russia win £10 to return £2400
Russia top of pre-qualified countries £50 to return £350
Football:
The relegation threatened sides are in crazy price country today. However, as we've seen the draw seems to be a better bet than taking the 'value'. I've prevaricated a bit and gone as follows:
Bolton – well, they do struggle to win, but I'm going to risk them. They should be odds on – Hull are beyond awful.
Aston Villa are leggy, and so instead of doing a win/draw no bet combo, I'll just go for the draw.
Fulham likewise. Their price is very attractive, but on reflection a draw looks a big player.
Man Utd only need a draw.
And with Portsmouth playing Sunderland Monday I can easily see all the crap clubs losing so I'll cover that as well.
Bolton to beat Hull £120 to return £270
Threeplay Draws
Man Utd/Arsenal draw £45 to return £160
Middlesbrough/Villa draw £45 to return £150
Newcastle/Fulham draw £45 to return £160
£20 draw treble to return £880
Fourfold – Bolton/Fulham/Villa/Portsmouth - all win £40 to return £2000
Racing
Lockinge day remains a pretty dismal day's racing. And without RUK, but with changeable weather, I'm particularly unenthusiastic. The Lockinge looks very poor, and Paco Boy wouldn't have to be top notch to win, but at the prices, with the going making the trip a test you'd have to oppose. Pressing and Aqlaam would make most appeal. There's quite a few horses I don't like today who come out top on Escorial's ratings, so that will be interesting to watch.
I'll do a threeplay
2:30 Thirsk – Jenny Potts (step up perfect – hopefully not running for handicap mark), a decent field provides a decent 20/80 price.
2:55 Newmarket – Clowance House – that maiden I'm following, looks a fair favourite here.
3:10 Newbury – Aqwaal – far from fit last time out, and scopey sort who can keep improving.
Something like:
Jenny Potts £15 win to return £300 and £35 place to return £180
Clowance House £55 win to return £150
Aqwaal £45 win to return £150
£30 treble to return £5000
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Cricket draw at 1.35. We have the weather on our side, and England making the series safe. The downside is a West Indies side with no desire to dig in.
Current stake - £120
Today let's start with Eurovision. And Russia. Or, rather Putin. Who puts the willies up any nation within touching distance. Georgia have already been disqualified. I bet all the others have their arses twitching like rabbits' noses. Surely, they are all going to throw a few votes in Russia's direction? They have for the last three years, when Russia have at least placed, and last year it felt like they'd been commanded to vote for them. And now they're hosts. People are saying their song is terrible. I can't comment but their songs were awful hitherto, so it plainly doesn't matter. The only downside I can see is if some secret edict has gone out asking them not to vote for the 'motherland'. In particular I can see them thrashing the old European countries (France, German, Spain and us) who are all pants at this, and have no friends.
Russia Top 10 £70 to return £200
Russia Top 4 £50 to return £1000
Russia win £10 to return £2400
Russia top of pre-qualified countries £50 to return £350
Football:
The relegation threatened sides are in crazy price country today. However, as we've seen the draw seems to be a better bet than taking the 'value'. I've prevaricated a bit and gone as follows:
Bolton – well, they do struggle to win, but I'm going to risk them. They should be odds on – Hull are beyond awful.
Aston Villa are leggy, and so instead of doing a win/draw no bet combo, I'll just go for the draw.
Fulham likewise. Their price is very attractive, but on reflection a draw looks a big player.
Man Utd only need a draw.
And with Portsmouth playing Sunderland Monday I can easily see all the crap clubs losing so I'll cover that as well.
Bolton to beat Hull £120 to return £270
Threeplay Draws
Man Utd/Arsenal draw £45 to return £160
Middlesbrough/Villa draw £45 to return £150
Newcastle/Fulham draw £45 to return £160
£20 draw treble to return £880
Fourfold – Bolton/Fulham/Villa/Portsmouth - all win £40 to return £2000
Racing
Lockinge day remains a pretty dismal day's racing. And without RUK, but with changeable weather, I'm particularly unenthusiastic. The Lockinge looks very poor, and Paco Boy wouldn't have to be top notch to win, but at the prices, with the going making the trip a test you'd have to oppose. Pressing and Aqlaam would make most appeal. There's quite a few horses I don't like today who come out top on Escorial's ratings, so that will be interesting to watch.
I'll do a threeplay
2:30 Thirsk – Jenny Potts (step up perfect – hopefully not running for handicap mark), a decent field provides a decent 20/80 price.
2:55 Newmarket – Clowance House – that maiden I'm following, looks a fair favourite here.
3:10 Newbury – Aqwaal – far from fit last time out, and scopey sort who can keep improving.
Something like:
Jenny Potts £15 win to return £300 and £35 place to return £180
Clowance House £55 win to return £150
Aqwaal £45 win to return £150
£30 treble to return £5000
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Cricket draw at 1.35. We have the weather on our side, and England making the series safe. The downside is a West Indies side with no desire to dig in.
Friday, May 15, 2009
Friday 15th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13440- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
I thought San Frontieres ran a cracker yesterday. They should let him take his chance in the Derby even if he is probably too green to do himself justice. With guaranteed odds, and quarter odds the place it was still a nice return.
Two 'three-plays' today – a lively one at York, and a fave's one at Newbury – weather has to be a worry though.
York 2:10 Redesignation – cracking performance last time out considering how worked up he was - bit worrying Escorial is laying it though (www.postracing.co.uk for his ratings)
York 2:40 Centennial – last time out seemed a prep and whilst too much rain would be a blow it would inconvenience a few others as well.
York 4:55 Tepmokea – non runner Tuesday – easier chance here and, as then, the form with Gitano Hernandez sticks out like a sore thumb (if realiable)
Newbury 2:20 Mijas Playas – have to forgive Chester run – and that's easily done, and he has a cracking chance here, where experience will count.
Newbury 2:50 Awinnersgame – sweated up last time, so that looks decent, and a listed class sprint looks his sort of race.
Newbury 3:20 Apple Charlotte – didn't beat much last time out, but Cecil won't have blown her handicap mark for nothing, and this not a very competitive looking field.
Something like:
Redesignation £50 to return £400
Centennial £50 to return £400
(£10 double to return £640)
Tepmokea £75 to return £400
£30 treble to return £10500
Miyas Playas £40 to return £140
Awinnersgame £40 to return £150
Apple Charlotte £55 to return £140
£20 treble to return £550
£5 sixfold to return squids...
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
My sky+ box has gone kaput which is a cause for some grief, and stopping me searching around for bets during the day, and indeed stopping me from keeping on top of all the racing.
Thursday, May 14, 2009
Thursday 14th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13190- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
York day 2.
Time for the first proper bet of the flat season.
I really liked Sans Frontieres' run in the Craven – he followed Delegator through, albeit at a respectful distance – having pulled early and run green. Bred to improve up in trip, There's every chance he could be a player, and the place odds are attractive too.
For the threeplay:
York 3:45 City Dancer – cost us when missing the break at Chester, but forgive that, especially with Hanagan back on board and the price looks very tempting.
Salisbury 1:50 Entreat – the third at Sandown actually looks pretty useful
Salisbury 2:50 Rosika – the win in the fillies race looked pretty good and she looks ahead of her rating.
Something like:
San Frontieres £100 ew at 14/1
City Dancer £35 to return £210
Entreat £50 to return £180
Rosika £50 to return £180
£25ew double Sans Frontieres and City Dancer
4 x £10 win doubles and £10 win four fold
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
York day 2.
Time for the first proper bet of the flat season.
I really liked Sans Frontieres' run in the Craven – he followed Delegator through, albeit at a respectful distance – having pulled early and run green. Bred to improve up in trip, There's every chance he could be a player, and the place odds are attractive too.
For the threeplay:
York 3:45 City Dancer – cost us when missing the break at Chester, but forgive that, especially with Hanagan back on board and the price looks very tempting.
Salisbury 1:50 Entreat – the third at Sandown actually looks pretty useful
Salisbury 2:50 Rosika – the win in the fillies race looked pretty good and she looks ahead of her rating.
Something like:
San Frontieres £100 ew at 14/1
City Dancer £35 to return £210
Entreat £50 to return £180
Rosika £50 to return £180
£25ew double Sans Frontieres and City Dancer
4 x £10 win doubles and £10 win four fold
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1760 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Wednesday, May 13, 2009
Wednesday 13th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13190- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
York day 1:
York 2:40 – as you know I'm a fan of High Heeled's last run against the colts and if the ground is Ok, a muddling pace here may suit her. This could be the race where she is ruthlessly exposed though, so I'll stick to a threeplay, rather than get the boots on.
York 3:10 – this used to be a front runners track so it's certainly possible the Abernant form will be upheld, even if the front two got the run of the race that day. Edge Closer should live up to his name if he gets out of the stalls this time.
York 4:55 – three horses running well may sneak a fitness advantage – Topolski, typical Johnston improver; Barwell Bridge – tough and this should suit, and Tepmokea whose form with Gitano Hernando is looking pretty good now.
Something like:
High Heeled £75 to return £250
Edge Closer £15 win to return £200; £60 place to return £260
Toploski/Tepkomea/barwell Bridge £50 hedge to return £250
and 3 x £10 trebles High Heeled/Edge Closer with each of the other three.
Enact/Serious Impact £40 double to return £560 (notebook horses, but not 'value', so a covering bet just in case)
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1740 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Yet another balls-up yesterday, and a couple of winners.
Current stake - £120
York day 1:
York 2:40 – as you know I'm a fan of High Heeled's last run against the colts and if the ground is Ok, a muddling pace here may suit her. This could be the race where she is ruthlessly exposed though, so I'll stick to a threeplay, rather than get the boots on.
York 3:10 – this used to be a front runners track so it's certainly possible the Abernant form will be upheld, even if the front two got the run of the race that day. Edge Closer should live up to his name if he gets out of the stalls this time.
York 4:55 – three horses running well may sneak a fitness advantage – Topolski, typical Johnston improver; Barwell Bridge – tough and this should suit, and Tepmokea whose form with Gitano Hernando is looking pretty good now.
Something like:
High Heeled £75 to return £250
Edge Closer £15 win to return £200; £60 place to return £260
Toploski/Tepkomea/barwell Bridge £50 hedge to return £250
and 3 x £10 trebles High Heeled/Edge Closer with each of the other three.
Enact/Serious Impact £40 double to return £560 (notebook horses, but not 'value', so a covering bet just in case)
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1740 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
Yet another balls-up yesterday, and a couple of winners.
Tuesday, May 12, 2009
Tuesday 12th May
2009 Challenge Fund (£13190- £120 in play unaccounted)
Current stake - £120
Typically quiet Tuesday. I'll get back in the garden with rains forecast for later in week.
I did an Oaks/Derby longshot double yesterday - High Heeled and Sans Frontieres - for what it's worth.
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current fund £1830 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
I'll look at the maidens opening each card and more likely the 4:20 Warwick.
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