Weds 5th December

Betting against these conspiracy theories has been good for us of late. Opposing heavily backed Johnson/Pipe runners hasn't.

I was thinking of opposing Dear Villez today, and may still do, but it's a bit of a riddle finding which of the three could beat him. So instead I'll head for Ayr and their novice chase.

Endless Power looks short enough for what could be a right slog. Jungleland and especially Scarvagh Diamond get useful weight from the favourite. The former shaped well on debut as did the latter before falling. The trip won't be such an issue in the going, and if Supply and Fix can get Endless Power into an early duel all the better. I'd price Jungleland at 4s and Scarvagh at 3s. Jungleland's price is the more attractive so I will slant the book that way, but do want to keep Scarvagh onside. I'm always worried about small field northern races turning into a carve up, but here goes.

£500 Challenge
Jungleland £10 at 6/1+
Scarvagh Diamond £5 at 3/1