Did well to avoid Nevada Royale for the challenge, just as well you can't see my in-running book on the race though!
We already have Stockport for today. Let's add a racing portfolio to it. It's another difficult day so I think I'd rather spread the money around.
Kemp 3:45
Diamond Tycoon 2/1
Kandidate 9/4
Great Hawk 9/2
Illustrious Blue 10/1
Diamond Tycoon can be priced at 2s on form, but you still have to take a leap to back him today. Great Hawk takes some riding and I made a note last year to only consider backing him with Ryan Moore up. Kandidate on the other hand has rock solid course form and the trainer has also started well, probably the most important criteria in the first month of the flat.
Newbury 2:20
Elvis Returns 5/1
De Blanc 7/1
Yardbird 8/1
Keenans Future 10/1
Not many in form here. Of those who are Keenans Future and yardbird keep being punished, and Elvis needs a right old test. De Blanc gets a tentative vote.
Newbury 5:05
William Bonney 9/4
Coach Lane 4/1
Daryal 4/1
Another disappointing race. William Bonney's form behind Kruguyrova points him up as an obvious selection.
UAE World Cup
I was looking at an each way angle into this race and stumbled across Andre Fabre's Nad AL Sheba record. He doesn't bother sending them there unless they're going to run well. Kocab has no obvious chance on form of winning, but he does have a solid chance of a place if he can improve on dirt. His last run was obviously the encouragement Fabre needed.
£500 Challenge
£2.50 win De Blanc 10/1 or better
£2.50 win Kandidate 3/1 or better
£2.50 win William Bonney 9/4 or better
£1.25 ew Kocab at 40/1 (50/1 available with VC - but they only let me have £6!)
£1.25 ew Kocab w/out Curlin at 16/1
3 x £1 win doubles the top three
3 x 50p ew doubles Kocab with the other three
£1 treble the top three
25pew accumulator
So much for that theory. At least Kandidate go us half our stake back.
ReplyDeleteStockport bets void.