Saturday 23rd January

I thought it was time to update this page. My new trading career is going OK, not exactly going to get rich with the feeble fund/stakes I'm currently using, but long-term think it's a goer. The main problem I have is I keep on being dragged back to thinking like a gambler, especially on the horses, but I'm getting there.

Obviously it makes it hard to provide much meaningful thoughts on here. However, I am involved in a number of longer-term markets which is something to talk about, and I do still do weekend get rich quick bets. So I'll look to update this Saturdays at least..


Thoughts for today.
Good-looking cards at Ascot and Haydock.
I'll do get rich trebles around two horses who'd be in my cyber stable if I still had one.
Mr Strachan and Ellerslie George.
The three horses I'll perm them with are all cheeky goes at much more fancied horses.
Fix The Rib, Knockara Beau and Cape Tribulation.


Longer-term markets
FA Cup
My approach to this, for the first time in years, has been to go against the big 4, and look at the next most likely (Spurs/Villa/Man City and Fulham). So far, so good, with Man Utd and Liverpool already gone. I traded all bets to leave me with no liability after round three, and have re-invested a few quid on Fulham and Villa on the basis they could trade lower if there are upsets elsewhere, but will look to go back to no liability prior to 5th round draw. (Protecting the bank at all costs is the key mantra these days!).

Premiership
I surfed Man City downwards, but now they're back where they started I'm wondering whether I should do it again, but it's probably pointless. I think Arsenal are flattered to be where they are and are now trading at what could be their lowest point. They are already my biggest red but I'll increase liability to my (modest) maximum ahead of their big games coming up.

African Nations Cup
This has worked well for me so far, and I'm all green bar Ivory Coast. Will fiddle around from now on, and hope Drogba and co fall by the wayside soon.

US Open Tennis
Have a small trade on Safina – that side opening up, will hope a tired Henin falls away, but will look to turn in to a free bet at first sign of danger.
Del Potro was my trading choice on the other side, which isn't looking so healthy!

Celebrity Big Brother
Without watching a second of the show I still look in good shape, no nasty-looking red, and hopefully Nicola or Stephanie can get a late charge in past a fading Vinnie Jones.

Cheltenham
Not much in way of ante post action, as you'd expect, but haven't been able to resist double figures on :
Weird Al in the RSA (hoping Diamond Harry doesn't dot up today!)
Pistolet Noir in the Triumph
Kalahari King in the Queen Mum