There was an old fashioned reality TV bet last night. Darius 3/1 to beat Bernie Nolan in a straight match. I'd have been close to Evens both. Shame I wasn't back in my old betting days slogging one out of the park!
I like Knockara Beau this afternoon against Burton Port. Granted, the latter has looked impressive beating nothing. but I'll stick to the Weird Al form, and, besides, for trading purposes Knockara Beau will hopefully front run. Corals 9/4 looks closer to the right price than the 11/4 available.
In the unfathomable big race, one way in might be to expect poor runs from all Welsh National horses, and go for the upset. That'll get rid of the 6 faves, so you could lay those 6, or find a couple of unlikely ones (Pomme Tiepy and Oscar Park maybe) or play the forecasts on some of the others.
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So frustrating when trainers decide to do something different - they completely screwed up Knockara Beau by not front-running - and considering how close he came - would surely have won otherwise.
ReplyDeleteHo hum.