Saturday, January 13, 2007

Racing - Saturday 13th Jan

Warwick 3:30
D'Argent 5/1
Tana River 6/1
Mon Mome 6/1
Touch Closer 11/1
Naunton Brook 12/1
Kinburn 16/1
Ladalko 16/1
L'Aventure 16/1
Heltornic 20/1

D'Argent, bounce a worry; would also worry about the Welsh National horses; plus laventure and kinburn wouldn't look to be suited by track; Ladalko can't jump. Tana River looks a bog price this morning - Corals go shortest 13/2 and that looks much more like it than the 10/1 plus available. Of course it's Lavelle so you take your chances. Touch Closer raced very lazily at Plumpton Sunday but looked like he may get involved when falling. As I backed him then I think I'll stick with him just in case.

Tana River 5pts win at 10/1+
Touch Closer 3pts win at 20/1
half pt rev fc


Kempton 1:05
Trouble at Bay 7/4
Royal Shakespeare 3/1
Swing Bill 4/1
Ofarel D'airy 4/1

I wouldn't be bullish about either of the front two. Trouble at Bay has a penalty for beating pretty useless horses, and Royal Shakespeare just hasn't looked the part so far over fences. Swing Bill did Ok in a hot race at Plumpton and hopefully the ground will be better here. Ofarel D'airy could be underrated with the age allowance. I think the latter two should be much closer in the betting.

Swing Bill 5pts win at 6/1
Ofarel D'Airy 5pts win at 6/1
1pt rev fc



Lingfield 3:05
Areyoutalkingtome 6/4
Qadar 4/1
Hurricane Spirit 4/1

Touch ask for Hurricane. Forgive Areyoutalkingtome his run over too far last time and this is his for the taking.

Areyoutalkingtome 5pts win at 15/8



Lingfield 3:35
Happy as Larry 9/4
Orchard Supreme 4/1
Red SPell 7/1
Bahar Shumaal 7/1
Very Wise 10/1

The Pitt improver is the fly in the ointment, but I remain impressed with Orchard Supreme, this distance should be Ok. The jockey may be an issue but at the price I'll play.

Orchard Supreme 5pts win at 6/1



Fusili 12/1

1 comment:

  1. Poor poor day - at least Robert De Niro's favourite horse won again, but I did a lot of last minute bets (I keep 3 pts back for each race fro last minute prices), and was just throwing money away.

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