Saturday, January 17, 2009
Saturday 17th January
2009 Challenge Fund (£8655 – £600 in-play accounted)
This month's stake - £100
Let's hope today's football goes better than last night's.
Racing. In my fledgling days, which in many ways this year is trying to recreate, I would mix a few larger single win bets with small stake doubles. Small stakes doubles are the way for me today.
First, the two big handicap chases. No-one should be surprised that I'm sticking with Miss Mitch – who is well handicapped. At Haydock, the world and his wife seem to have been waiting for Montgermont to go a trip in ground on a slow course.
Miss Mitch £35 at 9/1
Montgermont £35 at 6/1+
£30 win double
Elsewhere there are 8 and 9 runner fields aplenty, and with fingers crossed against non runners, I'm going to play minimum stakes ew doubles as follows:
12:30 Ascot - Stow (against long odds on fave)
1:20 Haydock - Issaquah (the improver in the field)
1:30 Wincanton - Bertie May (every chance on hurdle ratings)
2:25 Haydock - Alfie Flits (is a dog – but dogs often place in better races)
2:50 Ascot Aimigayle (is tough and genuine and some of these aren't)
10 x £5ew doubles (and a get rich quick acc which I won't account here!)
Barking Bets (Banked £1375/Current bank £2890 – 1 bet in play unaccounted)
This week's stake - £310.
12:55 Wincanton – front two look playable – but possibly going to be too short (under 1.1)
I probably won't play the front two 1:40 Ascot or Master Minded here, though both should oblige – the barking bets seem to work better in lower class races.
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Lingfield 2:55
ReplyDeleteThe Game 4/1
Ebraam 11/2
Internationaldebut 6/1
Fyodor 13/2
Tamagin 13/2
Matsunosuke 8/1
Little Edward 16/1
Mr Lambros 50/1
Doubtful Sound 50/1
El Dececy 50/1
Wotavadun 50/1
The front two on the tissue are marginal contenders at current prices. Per Kelly Criterion marginal edge = small bet
The Game @ 4/1 or better
Ebraam @ 11/2 or better
Lingield 16:00 to follow
I hope you're on form Toad - none of mine are getting past the first fence!
ReplyDeleteLinfield 4.00
ReplyDeleteAtlantic Story 7/2
Titan Triumph 11/2
Fajr 6/1
Samarinda 9/1
Capricorn Run 9/1
Red Somerset 9/1
Ace of Hearts 11/1
Kayak 15/1
Swiss Act 50/1
A road too far for Titan Triumph I feel so expect Atlantic Story to take this race. Unfortunately a no bet at the prices.
In the 2:55 Tommo said something correct for once.. The Game and Tamagin went off in front far too fast for their own good and cut each other thoats..
ReplyDeleteEbraam ran a shocker and is still running!
oh well, back to the "honey do" jobs!
Honestly, you finally get a nice winner on the horses and then all the football games go tits up.
ReplyDelete