Friday, October 13, 2006

Steve McLaren

Interesting markets around our qualification for Euro 2008.

Ladbrokes go a stand-out 1/2 that we still qualify. That seems about right.

Corals go 8/1 McLaren to leave his post in 2007.

Putting the two together is interesting. We play all our remaining qualifiers in 2007. It's all but unthinkable that McLaren would survive us not qualifying. Which makes that 8/1 look mighty big. Seems to me you can back them both and enjoy a free(ish) bet on McLaren leaving his post, or arb to suit yourself.

Of course, if we don't qualify and for some reason he kept his post we're in trouble. On the other hand, if we just qualify, or are struggling to qualify it's entirely possible he could be sacked or resign, and both parts of the bet could be landed. I see the latter as far more likely than the former.


MacLaren to leave his post in 2008 4pts at 8/1
England to qualify for 2008 8pts at 1/2

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