It looks like the start of the silly season, judging by the number of bets I've come up with.
For newbies, this refers to the notion that a team with something to play for (relegation/promotion) will over perform and a mid-table team with nothing to play for will underperform. Statistics show this to be a myth. However, the bookies still adjust their odds towards the end of the season to take this into account. This is partly because they fall for the myth themselves, but mainly because they are aware the punters will.
See if you can spot the ones below that fall into this situation.
(Friday) Chester 5pts beat Darlington at 7/4
Arsenal 5pts beat West Ham at 1/2 (!)
Blackburn 5pts beat Aston Villa at 11/10
Coventry 5pts beat QPR at Evens
C. Palace 5pts beat Preston at 7/4
Ipswich 5pts beat Barnsley at Evens
Crewe (away) 5pts beat Chesterfield at 9/4
Millwall 5pts beat Nottm Forest at 2/1
Huddersfield (away) 5pts beat Oldham at 9/2
Rochdale (away) 5pts beat Bury at 17/10
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90th minute Darlington penalty stopped us getting off to a flyer - could be the harbinger of doom!
ReplyDeleteA tiny profit from only 4 wins. Shows the power of the prices.
ReplyDeleteArsenal had 30 goal attempts apparently!