Midweek golf madness is back!
Steve Palmer makes a good case for Adam Scott this week, and Kjeldsen likes the Spanish course, and Oliver Fisher did me an each way favour last week.
Scott 50/1/Kjeldsen 18/1 £5ew double
Scott 50/1/O Fisher 30/1 £5ew double
I was going to do a treble at Ascot to stop me getting involved, but a non runner has reduced it to a paltry double.
£20 win Mojave Moon 13/2 and Mon Cadeaux 11/2
£40 staked
Wednesday, April 28, 2010
Monday, April 26, 2010
Monday 26th April
Let's do some Guineas doubles, with Stan James going "non runner no bet".
I liked the Nell Gwyn performance by Music Show and think Fallon would like to ride here. Blue Maiden also ran a cracker and seems to have slipped under the radar. She may go to the Irish instead so the non runner no bet concession is essential here.
Canford Cliffs was beaten fair and square by Dick Turpin and so the latter looks at least more fairly priced, especially with Ryan Moore up. Inler appeals at the price too.
Music Show 6/1 and Inler 16/1 £10 win double
Music Show 6/1 and Dick Turpin £10 win double
Blue Maiden 25/1 and Inler 16/1 £7.50 ew double
Blue Maiden 25/1 and Dick Turpin 16/1 £7.50 ew double.
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I liked the Nell Gwyn performance by Music Show and think Fallon would like to ride here. Blue Maiden also ran a cracker and seems to have slipped under the radar. She may go to the Irish instead so the non runner no bet concession is essential here.
Canford Cliffs was beaten fair and square by Dick Turpin and so the latter looks at least more fairly priced, especially with Ryan Moore up. Inler appeals at the price too.
Music Show 6/1 and Inler 16/1 £10 win double
Music Show 6/1 and Dick Turpin £10 win double
Blue Maiden 25/1 and Inler 16/1 £7.50 ew double
Blue Maiden 25/1 and Dick Turpin 16/1 £7.50 ew double.
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Saturday, April 24, 2010
Saturday 24th April
I've thought of a "fund" for this dormant blog.
Trading is going slowly but safely. It's a dull process though and I've been finding myself doing more "get rich quick" bets to accompany the grind.
I may as well make them a regular post on here. Of course these are "left-field" big price bets - hitting one out of the ballpark - and as such there are going to be stupefying losing runs. Still, you may be able to pick out some nuggets.
Today's swing and misses:
Spurs 6/1+ ("Draw no bet" may be a better option for a proper bet. Or the Asians. I'll lay Man Utd for trading purposes. 6/1 is too big though).
Portsmouth 6/1+ (Also too big on ratings. Team news would be imperative before a proper bet, and again "draw no bet" or asians may be safer approach).
Carlisle 7/1+ (The RP odds compilers football league is always of interest. Two of the compilers nap this in an attempt to land the title)
Oh Crick 4/1+ (Interesting trading possibility, given Twist Magic may not start, and there's a chance a few will cut their throats up front).
Nostringsattached 12/1 (I have this ante post at 25/1. Shame I also have a non runner at 25/1! Pricewise has forced him into 12s and lower now.)
Glass harmonium 4/1 (Another Stoute horse to improve like fine wine? Not interested in actual bet at the prices though)
15 x £2 doubles
The three football matches £10 treble returning £3k+
The three horses £10 treble returning £3k+
Six-fold £1 returning £100k+
And I'll throw £4 at the Scoop6
£55 staked.
Trading is going slowly but safely. It's a dull process though and I've been finding myself doing more "get rich quick" bets to accompany the grind.
I may as well make them a regular post on here. Of course these are "left-field" big price bets - hitting one out of the ballpark - and as such there are going to be stupefying losing runs. Still, you may be able to pick out some nuggets.
Today's swing and misses:
Spurs 6/1+ ("Draw no bet" may be a better option for a proper bet. Or the Asians. I'll lay Man Utd for trading purposes. 6/1 is too big though).
Portsmouth 6/1+ (Also too big on ratings. Team news would be imperative before a proper bet, and again "draw no bet" or asians may be safer approach).
Carlisle 7/1+ (The RP odds compilers football league is always of interest. Two of the compilers nap this in an attempt to land the title)
Oh Crick 4/1+ (Interesting trading possibility, given Twist Magic may not start, and there's a chance a few will cut their throats up front).
Nostringsattached 12/1 (I have this ante post at 25/1. Shame I also have a non runner at 25/1! Pricewise has forced him into 12s and lower now.)
Glass harmonium 4/1 (Another Stoute horse to improve like fine wine? Not interested in actual bet at the prices though)
15 x £2 doubles
The three football matches £10 treble returning £3k+
The three horses £10 treble returning £3k+
Six-fold £1 returning £100k+
And I'll throw £4 at the Scoop6
£55 staked.
Saturday, April 10, 2010
Saturday 10th April
With our golfers going along so well, I'm not sure I need to top up on my National Horses.
The other races are attractive and I've done some hit and hope doubles - mainly on Northern horses - which I'll share instead:
Noble Alan
Quewetwo
Au Courant
Leslingtaylor
Tale of Tanganyka
The other races are attractive and I've done some hit and hope doubles - mainly on Northern horses - which I'll share instead:
Noble Alan
Quewetwo
Au Courant
Leslingtaylor
Tale of Tanganyka
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Thursday 8th April
My get rich quick doubles for the weekend's big events:
Kim/Poulter/Casey
doubled with
Dream Alliance/Maljimar/Hallo Bud
As for the Masters - the last time Tiger Woods was 6/1 was the 2006 Open. I remember it well because everyone was against him, and we made a small killing. I'll aim to do the same again.
Then I'll fritter away money on the likes of Kevin Na!
Today at Aintree.
Nick Mordin is all over Possol today. Can't see it myself, but he has made me think the place portion of the each way, or betting without Big Bucks, or the bottom half of a forecast might have some legs, with a weak field outside the favourite.
I can miss Imperial Commander and Pigeon Island at the prices (and Barizan) having filled my boots last time. The one horse I will give one last chance to at big odds is Pistolet Noir in the last, though Nick Williams does look to have done a good bit of business there! Speaking of him, I'll stay with Me Voici.
Kim/Poulter/Casey
doubled with
Dream Alliance/Maljimar/Hallo Bud
As for the Masters - the last time Tiger Woods was 6/1 was the 2006 Open. I remember it well because everyone was against him, and we made a small killing. I'll aim to do the same again.
Then I'll fritter away money on the likes of Kevin Na!
Today at Aintree.
Nick Mordin is all over Possol today. Can't see it myself, but he has made me think the place portion of the each way, or betting without Big Bucks, or the bottom half of a forecast might have some legs, with a weak field outside the favourite.
I can miss Imperial Commander and Pigeon Island at the prices (and Barizan) having filled my boots last time. The one horse I will give one last chance to at big odds is Pistolet Noir in the last, though Nick Williams does look to have done a good bit of business there! Speaking of him, I'll stay with Me Voici.
Saturday, April 03, 2010
Saturday 3rd April
I see Kevin Pullein has stolen my thunder this morning, but when I looked at Man Utd's price last night I had to rub my eyes.
How important is Wayne Rooney to them?
That's about all you need to decide today. United have gone from 5/4 to better than 7/4 on his absence. And with "draw no bet" (or 0 Asian) from around 1.55 to 1.9.
Personally, I don't think any player is worth anything like 10 percentage points...
How important is Wayne Rooney to them?
That's about all you need to decide today. United have gone from 5/4 to better than 7/4 on his absence. And with "draw no bet" (or 0 Asian) from around 1.55 to 1.9.
Personally, I don't think any player is worth anything like 10 percentage points...
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
Tuesday 30th March
Bordeaux at Evens to qualify looks too big.
It looks priced on Lyon's reputation rather than the form of the last couple of years.
I only hope that doesn't preface another 7-1 scoreline tonight!
It looks priced on Lyon's reputation rather than the form of the last couple of years.
I only hope that doesn't preface another 7-1 scoreline tonight!
Saturday, March 27, 2010
Saturday 27th March
It's been a strange week for me. After Cheltenham's riches I seemed to take my eye off the "trading" ball, and only luck has saved me from seriously frittering away some hard work.
I'm busy this weekend and the break should allow me to refocus on the more mundane lifestyle of a trader.
As left-field bets go, this is up there. How about all the big three to lose today? Hardly likely I know, but the games look harder than the prices imply and none of them have been immune from dropping cheap points this season. You can get over 500/1 the treble.
As for the Lincoln, no idea as ever, and I'm determined to ditch heritage handicaps from my portfolio. Penitent does seem to skew the market a touch though and I'd rather have three or four running for me at the same price as he is - so my darts fall on horses on - Prime Exhibit, Mull of Killough and Tiger Reigns.
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I'm busy this weekend and the break should allow me to refocus on the more mundane lifestyle of a trader.
As left-field bets go, this is up there. How about all the big three to lose today? Hardly likely I know, but the games look harder than the prices imply and none of them have been immune from dropping cheap points this season. You can get over 500/1 the treble.
As for the Lincoln, no idea as ever, and I'm determined to ditch heritage handicaps from my portfolio. Penitent does seem to skew the market a touch though and I'd rather have three or four running for me at the same price as he is - so my darts fall on horses on - Prime Exhibit, Mull of Killough and Tiger Reigns.
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Saturday, March 20, 2010
Saturday 20th March
Well that was a fun week! Back to the trading today...
Birmingham continue to be underrated. To be honest this match has draw written all over it. I think that's the way I'll play it, keeping 0-0 well on-side early doors also.
Get rich quick at Uttoxeter.
Three horses favourably mentioned in my notebook trade at nice looking prices today. It would be rude not to do a small treble!
Sarde 2:05 at 12/1
Helpston 2:40 at 8/1
Fortification 3:15 at 25/1
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Birmingham continue to be underrated. To be honest this match has draw written all over it. I think that's the way I'll play it, keeping 0-0 well on-side early doors also.
Get rich quick at Uttoxeter.
Three horses favourably mentioned in my notebook trade at nice looking prices today. It would be rude not to do a small treble!
Sarde 2:05 at 12/1
Helpston 2:40 at 8/1
Fortification 3:15 at 25/1
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Friday, March 19, 2010
Friday 19th March
I've got Imperial Commander and Soldatino at 14s, and am happy with that.
If you're looking for a couple of off-the-wall bets how about a couple of 33/1 shots.
Barwell Bridge shouldn't be good enough to win a Triumph, but I'm not sure these are up to much and the ground and pace should be right up his street.
Pigeon Island has look threatening a few this this year (before falling!), and I've had him earmarked for a big handicap - why not the Grand Annual!
If you're looking for a couple of off-the-wall bets how about a couple of 33/1 shots.
Barwell Bridge shouldn't be good enough to win a Triumph, but I'm not sure these are up to much and the ground and pace should be right up his street.
Pigeon Island has look threatening a few this this year (before falling!), and I've had him earmarked for a big handicap - why not the Grand Annual!
Thursday, March 18, 2010
Thursday 18th March
All my big bets and ante post tickles fall hopelessly by the wayside, and I was pretty dispirited after the Queen Mum yesterday. Still, that's Cheltenham for you and Spirit River cheered me up soon after.
Not as much as the 90/1 I got on Cue Card though!
Darts day today, and I'll be keeping Ferdy Murphy, Venetia Williams and Emma Lavelle on-side.
Not as much as the 90/1 I got on Cue Card though!
Darts day today, and I'll be keeping Ferdy Murphy, Venetia Williams and Emma Lavelle on-side.
Wednesday, March 17, 2010
Wednesday 17th Cheltenham
Somersby and three other seconds for me yesterday....that would have been me on tilt for the rest of the festival in olden days
(On the other hand my 400/1 on CSKA Moscow is still running!)
Today was supposed to be Weird Al and Kalahari King's day. Hopefully the latter will do better than last year's heart-breaker. I'm on at 14s so have everything crossed.
The other horses I like today are all each way propositions.
Manyriverstocross is my "stable" horse for this year, and this looks the perfect race for him. 33/1 was lovely, 16/1 is still too big.
Knockara Beau was given a terrible ride last time, let him give it a go for the front today and he might sneak a place in a race that's usually carnage incorporated.
Spirit River is another horse looking to uphold Tote Trophy form.
Mix them all up and get rich quick!
(On the other hand my 400/1 on CSKA Moscow is still running!)
Today was supposed to be Weird Al and Kalahari King's day. Hopefully the latter will do better than last year's heart-breaker. I'm on at 14s so have everything crossed.
The other horses I like today are all each way propositions.
Manyriverstocross is my "stable" horse for this year, and this looks the perfect race for him. 33/1 was lovely, 16/1 is still too big.
Knockara Beau was given a terrible ride last time, let him give it a go for the front today and he might sneak a place in a race that's usually carnage incorporated.
Spirit River is another horse looking to uphold Tote Trophy form.
Mix them all up and get rich quick!
Tuesday, March 16, 2010
Tuesday 16th March
For those who want my get rich quick notions.
Somersby would be my idea of bet of the day, and my pin has come down on Khyber Kim in the Champion.
I'm going to do the double, and then treble them up with these four outsiders (which I'll double with each other and do an ew acc)
Flat Out (hoping he's Ebaziyan mark 2)
New Alco (because I seem to back him every year, and the Ferdy Murphy factor)
Monkerhostin (because he won a proper race recently so only needs to take to the fences to outclass this lot)
Easter Legend (because Emma Lavelle is the new Ferdy Murphy).
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Somersby would be my idea of bet of the day, and my pin has come down on Khyber Kim in the Champion.
I'm going to do the double, and then treble them up with these four outsiders (which I'll double with each other and do an ew acc)
Flat Out (hoping he's Ebaziyan mark 2)
New Alco (because I seem to back him every year, and the Ferdy Murphy factor)
Monkerhostin (because he won a proper race recently so only needs to take to the fences to outclass this lot)
Easter Legend (because Emma Lavelle is the new Ferdy Murphy).
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Saturday, March 13, 2010
Saturday 13th March
Some possible horses to back to lay shorter in-running:
Knockavella Ayr 3:50 (possible unopposed front runner with solid win chance)
Bowleaze Sand 2:30 (loves track, races prominently)
Aathur Sand 3:05 (travels so strongly)
Birmingham have a terrible record against teams above them and Blackburn have a perfect 0-9 away against teams above them. The compilers seem to have this in mind with their prices this morning and I'd say they've overreacted, as do my ratings. Birmingham should keep things tighter than Hull managed and I'd be a layer of Everton at 6/4. Spurs look to be badly missing Aaron Lennon (not a sentence I ever imagined writing) and Blackburn are slowly improving. 4/9 looks very short for a team that's flopped at home a few times this year.
Fancy an each way double on two big priced horses next week? It's the place element I'm interested in - close to 100/1.
Manyriverstocross in the Neptune 25/1 (I really fancy this horse to be in the mix with the step up in trip to suit and his 3rd in the Tote trophy rock solid).
Carruthers in the Gold Cup 50/1 (66/1 available). Not really a win proposition and will get no soft lead, but this may be a small field come the off and his small field record reads 112111.
I'll post every day of the meeting with similarly inspired/stupid ideas!!
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Knockavella Ayr 3:50 (possible unopposed front runner with solid win chance)
Bowleaze Sand 2:30 (loves track, races prominently)
Aathur Sand 3:05 (travels so strongly)
Birmingham have a terrible record against teams above them and Blackburn have a perfect 0-9 away against teams above them. The compilers seem to have this in mind with their prices this morning and I'd say they've overreacted, as do my ratings. Birmingham should keep things tighter than Hull managed and I'd be a layer of Everton at 6/4. Spurs look to be badly missing Aaron Lennon (not a sentence I ever imagined writing) and Blackburn are slowly improving. 4/9 looks very short for a team that's flopped at home a few times this year.
Fancy an each way double on two big priced horses next week? It's the place element I'm interested in - close to 100/1.
Manyriverstocross in the Neptune 25/1 (I really fancy this horse to be in the mix with the step up in trip to suit and his 3rd in the Tote trophy rock solid).
Carruthers in the Gold Cup 50/1 (66/1 available). Not really a win proposition and will get no soft lead, but this may be a small field come the off and his small field record reads 112111.
I'll post every day of the meeting with similarly inspired/stupid ideas!!
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Saturday, March 06, 2010
Saturday 6th March
Refreshed from a few days by the seaside. More refreshed than my wife anyway, who is busy throwing-up all last week's seafood. Only a matter of time before I join her!
Fulham. Always difficult to be objective about your own side, but I priced them at 6/4 for this. And that was before I saw the injury worries Spurs have in midfield. Spurs would be happy with a draw and I'd happily lay them at 6/4.
For get rich quick purposes I'll be looking at stable-horse Ellerslie George (though vibes have this as a prep), and Au Courant (who remains worryingly long considering Pricewise tipped him). Line Artic won't get a better chance at Kempton. And if you want two old-timers to cross your fingers and hope for a bounce back to form at big prices - how about Tot O' Whiskey and Helen's Vision. More likely to be pulled up though!
Fulham. Always difficult to be objective about your own side, but I priced them at 6/4 for this. And that was before I saw the injury worries Spurs have in midfield. Spurs would be happy with a draw and I'd happily lay them at 6/4.
For get rich quick purposes I'll be looking at stable-horse Ellerslie George (though vibes have this as a prep), and Au Courant (who remains worryingly long considering Pricewise tipped him). Line Artic won't get a better chance at Kempton. And if you want two old-timers to cross your fingers and hope for a bounce back to form at big prices - how about Tot O' Whiskey and Helen's Vision. More likely to be pulled up though!
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Saturday 27th February
So my gamble on Miss Mitch disappears down the drain. The prices now look about right. I've got a free bet on Private Be (thanks to Pricewise for once), and will be looking to trade Nacarat assuming he goes clear.
I think Birmingham are slightly too long against Wigan. Their lack of goals at home makes them very appealing for odds compilers to oppose. I'll back them at Evens and cover 0-0.
My going for glory bet this week is terrible value but is definitely going for glory!
Private Be around 12/1
Birmingham 0-0 (no goalscorer) around 8/1
Chelsea 0-0 (no goalscorer) around 12/1
England/Ireland draw around 20/1
Italy/Scotland draw around 20/1
10 silly trebles, and 25p (or whatever breaks the bookie maximum) on the 700,000/1 acc!!
I think Birmingham are slightly too long against Wigan. Their lack of goals at home makes them very appealing for odds compilers to oppose. I'll back them at Evens and cover 0-0.
My going for glory bet this week is terrible value but is definitely going for glory!
Private Be around 12/1
Birmingham 0-0 (no goalscorer) around 8/1
Chelsea 0-0 (no goalscorer) around 12/1
England/Ireland draw around 20/1
Italy/Scotland draw around 20/1
10 silly trebles, and 25p (or whatever breaks the bookie maximum) on the 700,000/1 acc!!
Saturday, February 20, 2010
Saturday 20th February
There was an old fashioned reality TV bet last night. Darius 3/1 to beat Bernie Nolan in a straight match. I'd have been close to Evens both. Shame I wasn't back in my old betting days slogging one out of the park!
I like Knockara Beau this afternoon against Burton Port. Granted, the latter has looked impressive beating nothing. but I'll stick to the Weird Al form, and, besides, for trading purposes Knockara Beau will hopefully front run. Corals 9/4 looks closer to the right price than the 11/4 available.
In the unfathomable big race, one way in might be to expect poor runs from all Welsh National horses, and go for the upset. That'll get rid of the 6 faves, so you could lay those 6, or find a couple of unlikely ones (Pomme Tiepy and Oscar Park maybe) or play the forecasts on some of the others.
I like Knockara Beau this afternoon against Burton Port. Granted, the latter has looked impressive beating nothing. but I'll stick to the Weird Al form, and, besides, for trading purposes Knockara Beau will hopefully front run. Corals 9/4 looks closer to the right price than the 11/4 available.
In the unfathomable big race, one way in might be to expect poor runs from all Welsh National horses, and go for the upset. That'll get rid of the 6 faves, so you could lay those 6, or find a couple of unlikely ones (Pomme Tiepy and Oscar Park maybe) or play the forecasts on some of the others.
Saturday, February 13, 2010
Saturday 13th February
There's an old-fashioned bet today, but sadly Pricewise has ruined the price for anyone right now. Manyriverstocross should be perfectly suited to the Tote Trophy conditions this afternoon. I've had an old time punt (though sadly not with the ammunition of yesteryear).
He'll also be the cornerstone of some sneaky get rich quick bets.
Strictly on ratings Portsmouth should be more like Evens against Southampton today. Obviously there's good reasons why they're not, but they still seem a silly price to me.
He'll also be the cornerstone of some sneaky get rich quick bets.
Strictly on ratings Portsmouth should be more like Evens against Southampton today. Obviously there's good reasons why they're not, but they still seem a silly price to me.
Sunday, February 07, 2010
Sunday 7th Feb
Notre Pere looks a backable price today at 5s....
I also remember four years ago Scotland costing me a fortune when they pushed the French pack the length of the field for a famous victory. France were 1.1 that day.
Happy to see Kalahari King and Weird Al finalise their Cheltenham preparations so nicely - looks like Wednesday is going to be my big day this year, not Thursday!
I also remember four years ago Scotland costing me a fortune when they pushed the French pack the length of the field for a famous victory. France were 1.1 that day.
Happy to see Kalahari King and Weird Al finalise their Cheltenham preparations so nicely - looks like Wednesday is going to be my big day this year, not Thursday!
Saturday, February 06, 2010
Saturday 6th February
It looks a bumper day's sport doesn't it?
Here's my take on the action.
Liverpool/Everton I'll wait until in-play.
Italy can keep close to Ireland for a bit – I think I'll back them on the half-time handicap and look to lay off in-running for a free bet. Probably worth laying Ireland at 1.03 as well – very little downside after all and just a chance of nice trade.
England/Wales rugby - I think I'll have a small trade on the draw hoping to lay off for a nice free bet, and then re-lay if it gets nailbitingly close, by which time I may have played in the Villa/Spurs game.
Horses. Tchico Polos should charge into a lead at Sandown – based on previous races – so should trade lower than currently, and who knows if he can get Punchestowns at it over the railway fences he could trade very low.
The three horses I'll be playing with him in get rich trebles and acc are
I'msingingtheblues – loves course, probably trading too high because Ruby not riding, yet C Williams usually rides.
Silk Affair – Gerald Delamere has a feel for these races and makes a good case
Lacdoudal – loves the course and whilstit's a love-bet really, this race has the look of an old guard's race.
I'll also keep an eye on Weird Al at Wetherby as he remains my main Sun Alliance horse.
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Here's my take on the action.
Liverpool/Everton I'll wait until in-play.
Italy can keep close to Ireland for a bit – I think I'll back them on the half-time handicap and look to lay off in-running for a free bet. Probably worth laying Ireland at 1.03 as well – very little downside after all and just a chance of nice trade.
England/Wales rugby - I think I'll have a small trade on the draw hoping to lay off for a nice free bet, and then re-lay if it gets nailbitingly close, by which time I may have played in the Villa/Spurs game.
Horses. Tchico Polos should charge into a lead at Sandown – based on previous races – so should trade lower than currently, and who knows if he can get Punchestowns at it over the railway fences he could trade very low.
The three horses I'll be playing with him in get rich trebles and acc are
I'msingingtheblues – loves course, probably trading too high because Ruby not riding, yet C Williams usually rides.
Silk Affair – Gerald Delamere has a feel for these races and makes a good case
Lacdoudal – loves the course and whilstit's a love-bet really, this race has the look of an old guard's race.
I'll also keep an eye on Weird Al at Wetherby as he remains my main Sun Alliance horse.
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