I looked at the Champions League matches – particularly 'unders', but no dice. I looked at Ryan Moore's one ride at Folkestone but best steer clear.
I thought about putting up a National portfolio but will stick with my ante post bets for now (which for interest are: Simon, Snowy Morning, Mon Mome, Chelsea Harbour, King Johns Castle, and more non runners than are healthy).
Luckily lower league football has come to the rescue, and once I'd updated my ratings from the weekend we were left with an obvious bet.
Carlisle go from strength to strength. They've won all bar two home games, and those ages ago. They have scored every home game and only conceded 10 all season. They are top of my ratings and still threaten to kill my Swansea/MK Dons double. Nottingham Forest on the other hand continue to be average – in fact they are on exactly the same rating as they started the year. It's true they aren't easy to beat away from home, and that and their name look to be propping the price up here. Carlisle should at least be Evens and arguably odds on. We could have kept the draw half on-side and I was going to settle for that when 11/10 looked the best price, but having just got 6/5 we'll stick to the straight win – particularly as it continues to be a hedge for me.
£500 Challenge
£25 win at 6/5 (11/10 ok)
This afternoon I've become slightly more cautious. Carlisle have injury worries over their strike force and the wind's getting up. Their lastthree mettings ahve only offered up 2 goals also.
ReplyDeleteI've sold back a bit of my bet (£3 in challenge terms) at the same price as struck and covered 0-0.
I won't count that for the challenge data, but in case someone sees this late on.
She's a cruel mistress.
ReplyDelete'Unders' in both the champions league games and Ryan Moore wins at 10/3.
Carlisle on the other hand...I did have a growing bad feeling about the bet all day. Sounds like one of those games.