Wednesday, September 05, 2007

5th Sept - racing, and £500 challenge rugby

A nice winner yesterday on the late drifting Lovelace.


York 3:35
Echo of Light 7/4
Royal Oath 3/1
Formal Decree 11/2
Mullins Bay 10/1


Firstly let's take Royal Oath at 4/1. The tissue tries to take account of Echo of Light's roguery, whilst accepting he's got a great strike rate and won this last year. I think there's a chance people may try to take him on this afternoon – we'll see. I'd be happy to back the two of them if the prices come right.



Rugby World Cup

A while ago I was going to just dive in and take the All Blacks. That seems to have been before a certain Mr Findlay completely messed up the books. His alleged millions have knackered that as a value option. I think they'll drift for the next few days – better than 4/6 and I think they are still a decent bet.

Instead or until, let's go with the home side – who have the usual in-built home-side advantages – each way, with a view to stealing the inflated place odds, and potentially dumping the win odds late on (we won't account for that in the challenge).


£500 Challenge
France to win World Cup
£7.50 ew at 7/1


Running Total
£535.99

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