Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Weds September 16th

Goodwood 4:05
Kirklees 5/4
Illustrious Blue 4/1
Windsor knot 11/2
Formal Decree 12/1
Ordnance Row 12/1
Al Tharib 12/1


Kirklees was impressive last time. However, there's the dreaded bounce to consider, plus if he's being prepped for something like the Prix Dollar they won't get to the bottom of him here. The other two Godolphin runners muddy the water, but Illustrious Blue is rock solid. His course form is great and I'll gladly take Evens the place.



For the rest of racing I'll be refining my new approach to uncompetitive races.


Perth 2:30
Balyan booked for a place but is 2/1on a safe investment for a fragile horse.


Perth 4:50
Delightfully up against an unraced fave in a poor juvenile possibly looks a better 2/1on chance to place.


Kempton 6:50
Could happily oppose the fave, and Norman Tradition could be a fighting price to place but weak this morning.


Waiting and watching.



Instead, let's go to the golf for the bet of the day.

The Seve Trophy - Europe at 13/8 looks to be puffed up as a consequence of home team bias. The ratings of the golfers involved this year are pretty tight and both sides have 5 rookies. That in itself should have them closer. But Faldo v Seve clinches it for me. I already fear for the Ryder Cup with Faldo in charge, and though he could assauge thouse fears here, I'll oppose him readily. The 13/8 may have already gone, but 6/4 still looks more than fair.



£500 Challenge
Europe £15 Seve Trophy at 6/4 or better


Running Total
£550.49


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