A good week so far. My betting week used to build up slowly to a make or break Saturday. Since the change in approach Saturday has become a day for caution. Frankly I'm finding this a difficult adjustment to make. However, I think today I've managed to avoid most of the obvious competitive handicaps, (so far at least).
The horses that interest me most today as betting propositions are:
1:05 Kelso
Calculaite. 3/1+
This one cost us last time out when he ran far too free. He jumped very well though and should come on for that. There's little depth to the race and more importantly I don't like the favourite much, He travels well, but I remain unconvinced and think that 2m on quick ground could hardly suit less.
2:20 Winc
Joe Lively. 6/4+
His beating of Iced Tea (who looks a good horse) looks rock solid. His price should be held above 6/4 due to the Nicholls effect.
2:25 Sandown
Bubble Boy 6/1+
More speculative. Particularly on recent form. However, Powell's horses have taken off this week. Better still, Bubble Boy should get a soft lead and that's a very good thing indeed in small field Sandown chases. I'm hoping there'll be the potential to trade out in-running.
2:50 Winc
Kings Quay 4/1+
Quinn knows what it takes to win this and Kings Quay should have the speed and strength to do for a bunch of last year's juveniles.
I won a tasty five figure sum at this Wincanton fixture last year. Parsons Legacy at big odds did the most damage. I have nothing like that this time, but here's hoping!
£500 Challenge
Calculaite £15 win at 3/1+
So, the challenge bet ran like a dog. Who cares!
ReplyDeleteBubble Boy, it's particularly pleasing when you see a race pan out how you envisaged it in your pre-race mind's eye. And is more confirmation of the importance of understanding what horses are suited to what tracks.
As for Dougie Costello mistaking the winning line on Kings Quay - lucky boy!